Simulating Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan

April, 2022


The Canadian Climate Institute contracted Navius to help with an assessment of the emissions projections contained in Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan. Using gTech, we simulated the federal policies announced in this plan. The assumptions we used to characterize these policies are presented here, along with the independent assessment conducted by the Canadian Climate Institute.


  • 24 policies recently announced in the federal 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan were simulated, in addition to existing provincial and territorial policies
  • We have categorized policies as legislated/developed, developing, or announced. For many announced policies, there is significant uncertainty regarding coverage, design, stringency, and timelines. In these cases, we simulated a more and less stringent version to demonstrate a possible range of emission reductions depending on the timeline and stringency level chosen.

Click above to download our technical report.

Click above to visit the Canadian Climate Institute’s webpage & download the final report.

Download the report or visit the Canadian Climate Institute’s report webpage.

This study was commissioned and funded by the Canadian Climate Institute.

To learn more about this research, please contact Franziska Förg.

Other Research