Confidence in Decision Making
We employ our in-house gTech model that we customize to meet our clients’ needs and provide insight about different aspects of energy, greenhouse gas and environmental policy.
Our in-house model gTech simulates how policy and economic conditions influence technology adoption, energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. This tool allows us to:
- Produce forecasts of energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions for every Canadian province
- Evaluate the impact of policies on technology adoption, energy use and emissions
- Assess uncertainty of model forecasts through sensitivity and Monte Carlo analyses
We use gTech to simulate how all sectors of the economy may evolve under different economic conditions. This tool allows us to provide insight into how energy and climate policies affect a number of variables, such as:
- Economic activity (e.g., gross domestic product)
- Energy consumption
- Greenhouse gas emissions
- Technology adoption
- Trade of goods and services between regions
- The competitiveness of different sectors
We use gTech to simulate how all sectors of the economy may evolve under different economic conditions. This tool allows us to provide insight into how energy and climate policies affect a number of variables, such as:
- Economic activity (e.g., gross domestic product)
- Energy consumption
- Greenhouse gas emissions
- Technology adoption
- Trade of goods and services between regions
- The competitiveness of different sectors
Navius’ Integrated Electricity Supply and Demand (IESD) model simulates capacity investment and hourly dispatch decisions in the electricity sector as well as the decisions by end-users that affect electricity demand. This tool allows us to provide insight into the impact of policies and economic conditions on:
- Electricity consumption by sector
- Capacity and electricity generation by unit and fuel type
- Greenhouse gas emissions from the electricity sector
- Greenhouse gas abatement due to electricity conservation and/or electrification in the rest of the economy
- Wholesale electricity prices
We use gTech to answer strategic questions about fossil fuels and biofuels production, demand, and transportation including by pipelines. This tool allows us to offer insight into the implications of fuel supply, demand, and transportation decisions and federal and provincial policy constraints on:
- Oil and gas prices at multiple trading hubs
- Global and regional oil and gas production
- Global and regional oil and gas demand
- Global and regional greenhouse gas emissions
We use gTech to answer strategic questions about fossil fuels and biofuels production, demand, and transportation including by pipelines. This tool allows us to offer insight into the implications of fuel supply, demand, and transportation decisions and federal and provincial policy constraints on:
- Oil and gas prices at multiple trading hubs
- Global and regional oil and gas production
- Global and regional oil and gas demand
- Global and regional greenhouse gas emissions
We frequently integrate information and expertise from multiple subject areas into our analyses. For example, we have:
- Adapted our macroeonomic model to represent how different industries use water as an input into production.
- Integrated land use, transportation, energy, and economic modeling in order to analyze the potential for integrated policies to reduce urban energy use and air emissions.
- Developed a realistic model of electric vehicle adoption that accounts for consumer preferences, constraints on purchases, and vehicle characteristics and supply. This model was integrated with our electricity dispatch model to understand the impact of “smart charging” on the electricity sector and on electric vehicle adoption.