Research

Simulating Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan

December, 2023

Summary

In partnership with the Canadian Climate Institute, we simulated Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) based on the 2023 Emissions Reduction Plan Progress Report. In the below report, we present the assumptions used to characterize federal policies using Navius’ integrated gTech-IESD model. We simulate three policy packages with varying levels of policy design certainty: legislated provincial and federal policies, developing policies, and announced policies. We also simulate a counterfactual “no carbon policy” scenario that shows what might have happened if we hadn’t introduced any emission reduction policies over the past ten years.

Click above to download our technical report.

Click above to download the Canadian Climate Institute’s report.

This analysis was commissioned and funded by the Canadian Climate Institute

Download our technical report or Canadian Climate Institute’s report.

To learn more about this research, please contact Franziska Förg.

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